Money Growth and Velocity with Structural Breaks: Evidence from the Philippines

Assad L. Baunto; Christian Bordes; Samuel Maveyraud; Philippe Rous

Assad L. Baunto UP School of Economics
Christian Bordes University of Paris I – Sorbonne
Samuel Maveyraud University of Bordeaux 4
Philippe Rous Université de Limoges

Keywords: Friedman hypothesis, GARCH, structural breaks

Abstract

This paper aims to test the Friedmanite proposal on the link between the velocity of money demand and money growth. We base our work on the Philippines as its monetary policy has been subject to sharp swings since the 1980s. We use a method that takes into account possible structural breaks in the velocity of money demand and a GARCH model to evaluate the variability of money growth. We apply Granger causality tests to confirm the Friedmanite hypothesis.

Author Biographies

Christian Bordes, University of Paris I – Sorbonne

Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne (CES)

Philippe Rous, Université de Limoges

Laboratoire d’Analyse et Prospective Économiques (LAPE)